طالع المزيد حول «قرننا الأخير»
المخاطر الوجودية
- Policy and research ideas to reduce existential risk (5 mins.)
- فرضية العالم المعرض للخطر — Scientific and technological progress might change people’s capabilities or incentives in ways that would destabilize civilization. This paper introduces the concept of a vulnerable world: roughly, one in which there is some level of technological development at which civilization almost certainly gets devastated by default. (45 mins.)
النقد
- Democratising Risk: In Search of a Methodology to Study Existential Risk (50 mins.)
- Critical review of “The Precipice”: a reassessment of the risks of AI and pandemics (maybe come back to the “Unaligned Artificial Intelligence” section next week, once you’ve engaged with the argument for AI risk).
الأمن الحيوي
- Preventing catastrophic pandemics (1 hour)
- The Apollo Program for Biodefense: Winning the race against biological threats
- Biotechnology and biosecurity — Overview from ~15 years ago on how biotechnological power is increasing exponentially, as measured by the time needed to synthesize a certain sequence of DNA. This has important implications for biosecurity. (1 hour)
- Open until dangerous: gene drive and the case for reforming research (Video — 50 mins.)
- Dr Cassidy Nelson on the twelve best ways to stop the next pandemic (and limit COVID-19) — 80k podcast interview (podcast — 2.5 hours)
- Andy Weber on rendering bioweapons obsolete and ending the new nuclear arms race — 80k podcast interview (podcast — 2 hours)
- Information hazards in biotechnology (15 mins.)
- Using export controls to reduce biorisk (6 mins.)
- The Biological Weapons Convention protocol should be revisited (10 mins.)
- Horsepox synthesis: A case of the unilateralist’s curse? (8 mins.)
التغير المناخي
- Climate change: is climate change the greatest threat facing humanity today? — An analysis of the worst risks of climate change, some of the most promising ways to reduce them, and how to prioritize climate change against other problems. (30 mins.)
- Effective Environmentalism (Website)
الأمن النووي
- Daniel Ellsberg on the creation of nuclear doomsday machines, the institutional insanity that maintains them, and a practical plan for dismantling them — Daniel Ellsberg on the institutional insanity that maintains large nuclear arsenals, and a practical plan for dismantling them (Podcast — 2 hours 45 mins.)
- List of nuclear close calls — A description of the thirteen events in human history so far that could have led to an unintended nuclear detonation (5 mins.)
- Risks from Nuclear weapons — A series of posts exploring the extent to which nuclear risk reduction is a top priority, and the most effective ways to reduce nuclear risk.
- Nuclear security — Brief summary + relevant articles on the EA Forum
الحوكمة العالمية والسلام الدولي
- Ambassador bonnie jenkins on 8 years of combating WMD terrorism — an interview with Bonnie Jenkins, Ambassador at the U.S. Department of State under the Obama administration, where she worked for eight years as Coordinator for Threat Reduction Programs in the Bureau of International Security and Nonproliferation. (Podcast — 1 hour 40 mins.)
- Modelling Great Power conflict as an existential risk factor (40 mins.)
- Why effective altruists should care about global governance — Because global catastrophic risks transcend national borders, we need new global solutions that our current systems of global governance struggle to deliver. (Video — 20 mins.)
- Destined for War (Book)